A mother in Fresno pulls into her neighborhood gas station with her two kids in the back seat.

She’s running on empty and she needs to get to work.

The price on the sign reads $11.89 per gallon.

She does the math in her head.

Filling her Honda Civic will cost $190.

That’s more than she makes in a day.

She turns the car around and heads home, calls her boss, and says she can’t make it in.

I’m Laura Whitmore, and this is the Laura Whitmore Report.

Before we dive into this investigation, I need you to do something critical right now.

Hit that subscribe button, click the like button, drop a comment below with your thoughts on what’s happening to fuel prices in your state.

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What you’re about to hear should concern every American watching energy policy unfold in real time.

Today, we’re examining how California reached a point where $12 per gallon gasoline has gone from impossible to inevitable.

where working families are being priced out of their own lives, where emergency responders can’t afford to keep ambulances fueled, where the entire economic infrastructure of the most populous state in America is collapsing under the weight of its own policy decisions.

This isn’t a prediction.

This is happening right now.

And the ripple effects are spreading across three states.

Let me show you exactly how we got here, who’s responsible, and what happens next if no one changes course.

On October 14th, 2024, California Governor Gavin Nuome signed Assembly Bill 1525 into law during a public ceremony in Sacramento.

He called it a victory against big oil and a stand against price gouging.

The legislation mandated that California’s refineries maintain minimum fuel stock levels at all times and gave state authorities the power to establish acceptable profit margins for refining operations.

In other words, the state would now decide how much profit was too much profit for energy companies operating within California’s borders.

The governor framed this as consumer protection.

He said these regulations would save Californians hundreds of millions of dollars every year by preventing refineries from deliberately restricting supply during planned maintenance shutdowns.

He accused oil companies of playing games with California’s fuel supply to artificially inflate prices.

He positioned himself as the defender of everyday Californians against corporate greed.

Just 3 days later, the first domino fell.

On October 17th, 2024, Philip 66 announced they were shutting down their Los Angeles refinery permanently.

This wasn’t a small facility.

It produced 139,000 barrels of gasoline per day.

That’s roughly 8% of California’s total refining capacity, gone overnight.

Philip 66 stated that market dynamics had made continued operation economically unfeasible.

In plain language, California’s new rules made running a refinery impossible.

Then in April 2025, Valero Energy dropped another bombshell.

They announced the closure of their Benicia refinery effective April 2026.

That facility produced 145,000 barrels per day, another massive chunk of California’s supply.

Valero’s chief executive didn’t mince words.

He pointed out that California had been pursuing aggressive fossil fuel reduction policies for two decades and that the regulatory and enforcement environment in California was now the most stringent and challenging in all of North America.

He said the company could no longer justify the capital investment required to meet California’s constantly evolving regulatory demands.

Together, Philip 66 and Valero represented 20% of California’s total refining capacity.

Oneif of the state’s gasoline production was disappearing within an 18-month window.

And this was just the beginning.

Here’s what nobody anticipated.

When you lose 20% of your refining capacity in a state that already imports fuel to meet demand, prices don’t just increase gradually, they spike.

California currently uses about 1.72 million barrels of gasoline per day.

Before the closures, the state’s refineries could produce about 1.

62 62 million barrels per day, meaning California already had to import about 100,000 barrels per day to meet demand.

With Philips 66 and Valero gone, California’s refining capacity dropped to 1.34 million barrels per day.

That means California now needs to import 380,000 barrels per day, nearly four times what it imported before.

And here’s the critical part that Governor Nuome never addressed.

California doesn’t use regular gasoline.

California requires a special fuel blend called Carbob, California reformulated gasoline blend stock for oxygenate blending.

This fuel meets California’s unique emissions standards and only a handful of refineries worldwide can produce it.

You can’t just buy gasoline from Texas or Louisiana and ship it to California.

It doesn’t meet state environmental requirements.

The fuel has to come from California’s remaining refineries or from specialized facilities in South Korea, India, or Singapore.

So when local refining capacity drops by 20%.

California has to import carbob by ocean tanker from Asia.

That takes weeks.

The tankers have to travel across the Pacific Ocean.

They have to wait for port space at Los Angeles or Long Beach.

They have to unload.

The gasoline has to get distributed through California’s pipeline network to local markets.

Any delay in this supply chain causes immediate shortages and price spikes.

Let me tell you about what happened.

In February 2025, a fire broke out at the Martinez Refining Company facility in Northern California.

The fire took the refinery offline for emergency repairs.

Martinez produces 156,000 barrels per day, about 10% of California’s remaining gasoline capacity.

The moment that refinery went down, gas prices across California jumped 80s per gallon in 48 hours.

In San Francisco, prices hit $640.

In Los Angeles, they reached 590.

In rural areas of the Central Valley, stations ran completely dry.

Drivers waited in lines for 2 hours just to fill their tanks.

Arizona saw prices jump from 375 to 455 in a single day.

Nevada went from 390 to 470.

That’s because Arizona gets 33% of its gasoline from California refineries and Nevada gets 88% of its supply from California.

When California’s system breaks, the entire Southwest pays the price.

The Martinez fire was eventually contained.

The refinery came back online after 8 weeks.

Prices stabilized, but they never came back down to pre-fire levels.

They stayed elevated because the market now understood the fragility of California’s fuel infrastructure.

One refinery fire, one unplanned maintenance issue, one pipeline leak.

Any of these could trigger another crisis.

And then Senator Brian Jones saw what was coming.

On May 6th, 2025, he sent an emergency letter to Governor Nuomo warning that gas prices could hit 8 Darwin 43 per gallon if refinery closures continued at the current pace.

Jones cited a study from the USC Marshall School of Business predicting price increases as high as 75% within 2 years.

He offered to work with the governor to find solutions before the crisis worsened.

Governor Nuome never responded.

Not a single acknowledgement, not a meeting, not even a press statement.

The letter went into a file somewhere in Sacramento and the crisis continued to build.

By June 2025, even the California Energy Commission, which reports directly to Governor Nuomo, started raising red flags.

They issued a formal warning that California needed to stabilize refining operations immediately or face severe supply disruptions during the peak summer driving season.

The problem was undeniable at this point.

Refineries were leaving and the state’s fuel supply was in jeopardy.

That’s when Governor Nuome finally called for what he described as a collective effort to address market disruption.

He held a press conference in Sacramento surrounded by Democratic legislators and promised that California would handle the crisis without backing down from its environmental commitments.

But when reporters asked if he would reconsider the regulations that caused refineries to close in the first place, he dodged the question entirely.

He said California would not be bullied by oil companies trying to protect their excessive profit margins.

Have you noticed gas prices climbing in your area? What are you paying per gallon right now? Drop a comment and tell me what state you’re watching from.

I want to know how this crisis is affecting communities across America.

Because this isn’t just a California problem anymore.

In July 2025, the situation became desperate.

Reports surfaced that California officials had begun secret negotiations to find a buyer for Valero’s Benicia refinery.

The same state government that had driven Valero out with impossible regulations was now scrambling behind closed doors to keep them operating.

According to sources familiar with the negotiations, California was prepared to offer hundreds of millions of dollars in subsidies, tax breaks, and regulatory relief to any company willing to purchase and operate the Benicia facility.

Let that sink in for a moment.

California passes regulations that make refining economically impossible.

The refinery announces closure and then California offers massive taxpayer-funded subsidies to keep it open.

The state was now paying companies to do what those companies had been doing profitably for decades before Sacramento intervened.

By August 2025, the California Energy Commission quietly delayed enforcement of the profit cap penalties until 2030.

The very regulation Governor Nuome had championed to protect consumers from price gouging got postponed for 5 years.

Vice Chair Siva Gunda assured the public this would ensure a smooth transition, but the message was crystal clear.

The regulation couldn’t actually work in the real world.

It was economically impossible to implement without completely destroying California’s remaining refining capacity.

So, what happened to the fight against big oil greed? What happened to holding energy companies accountable? It disappeared the moment reality set in.

Meanwhile, gas prices kept climbing.

California’s statewide average hit $580 per gallon in September 2025.

By November, it reached $650.

Los Angeles was seeing prices above $7 at many stations.

San Francisco hit $780, and these were average prices.

In rural communities, in mountain areas, in places where transportation costs added to the base price, some stations were already charging $9 per gallon.

Then came the real catastrophe.

On December 3rd, 2025, a magnitude 5.

8 earthquake struck near Bakersfield in central California.

The quake itself caused minimal damage to buildings and infrastructure, but it triggered automatic safety shutdowns at two refineries, Chevron’s facility in Richmond and Valero’s operation in Benishia, which was still running while sale negotiations continued.

Both refineries went offline simultaneously, taking 210,000 barrels per day of production out of the market in an instant.

Within 72 hours, California gas prices exploded.

The statewide average jumped from $6.50 to $920.

That’s a $2.70 increase in 3 days.

In the Bay Area, prices hit $1085s.

In Los Angeles, they reached $10.40.

Rural stations in Northern California charged $1.50 per gallon because their supply costs were higher and their ability to absorb price shocks was non-existent.

Panic buying set in immediately.

Drivers rushed to fill up before prices went higher.

Stations ran dry within hours.

In San Diego, 40% of gas stations had no fuel by day four of the crisis.

In Sacramento, the number was 35%.

In Fresno, it was 50%.

People were driving 50 m to find an open station with fuel, burning $30 worth of gas to save $15 on a fillup.

Emergency services were hit hard.

Fire departments had to ration fuel for their trucks.

Ambulance companies in rural counties started requesting mutual aid from neighboring regions just to keep vehicles on the road.

School districts canled bus routes.

Delivery companies suspended service.

The entire logistics infrastructure of California ground to a halt.

And here’s what makes this even worse.

Both refineries came back online after 9 days.

The earthquake damage was minimal.

They were back to full production by mid December.

But prices didn’t come back down.

By Christmas 2025, California’s average gas price had settled at $8.90 per gallon.

It had dropped from the peak, but it never returned to pre-earquake levels.

That’s when the USC Marshall School’s prediction started looking conservative.

They had said $8.43 per gallon.

California hit $920 and stayed above $8.50 for weeks.

The market was now pricing in the risk of future disruptions.

Every gallon of gas sold in California carried a premium because everyone knew the next crisis could happen at any moment.

Arizona watched its average price leap from $420 to $680 during the December earthquake crisis.

Nevada went from $4.50 to $710.

Both states saw panic buying and fuel shortages despite having no direct damage from the earthquake.

They were simply dependent on California’s refineries.

And when California’s system failed, they failed, too.

On January 8th, 2026, just 5 days ago, Chevron made an announcement that sent shock waves through energy markets.

They were closing their Richmond refinery permanently, effective March 31st, 2026.

The facility produces 245,000 barrels per day, making it one of the largest refineries in Northern California.

Chevron’s chief executive said the company could no longer justify operating in California’s regulatory environment.

He said the state had made it clear through both policy and rhetoric that fossil fuel companies were not welcome and Chevron was responding accordingly by redirecting capital to states and countries that wanted their investment.

Governor Nuome’s office issued a statement calling Chevron’s decision a betrayal of California workers and an attempt to dodge environmental accountability.

But the statement never addressed the obvious question.

If your regulations make it impossible for companies to operate profitably, why are you surprised when they leave? Here’s where we are right now today, January 13th, 2026.

California has lost three major refineries in 15 months.

Philips 66 is gone.

Valero is closing in April.

Chevron is shutting down in March.

That’s 529,000 barrels per day of production eliminated.

California’s remaining refining capacity will be approximately 1.09 million barrels per day.

The state uses 1.

72 million barrels per day.

That means California will need to import 630,000 barrels per day, more than 1/3 of its total consumption.

And carbob imports are expensive when you factor in the cost of shipping fuel across the Pacific Ocean, the port fees, the distribution costs, and the profit margins for Asian refiners.

Imported carob costs about $4 per gallon more than domestically refined gasoline.

That $4 per gallon premium gets passed directly to consumers.

Energy analysts are now predicting California gas prices will hit $12 per gallon by summer 2026.

Not during a crisis, not during a refinery fire or an earthquake.

Just as the normal price for fuel in California when demand peaks during vacation season, $12 per gallon as the baseline.

Think about what that means for a working family.

The average California household drives about 12,000 m per year.

At 25 m per gallon, that’s 480 gall of fuel annually.

At $12 per gallon, that’s $5,360 per year just for gasoline.

For a family making $60,000 a year, that’s nearly 10% of their gross income spent on fuel before taxes.

And that’s just for one vehicle.

For families with two cars, double it.

This is not sustainable.

You cannot run a modern economy when workers are spending 10% to 15% of their income just to get to their jobs.

You cannot maintain a logistics network when diesel costs $14 per gallon.

You cannot keep emergency services running when ambulances cost $400 to fill up.

And a Governor Nuome’s response on January 10th, 3 days ago, he held a press conference to announce a new rebate program.

California will send $400 checks to vehicle owners to offset high gas prices.

He called it immediate relief for struggling families.

But here’s the math.

$400 divided by $12 per gallon equals 33 gall.

For most vehicles, that’s one fillup, maybe two if you drive a compact car.

The rebate covers about 2 weeks of driving for the average California family.

And then they’re right back to paying $12 per gallon out of pocket.

The rebate program will cost California taxpayers $9.6 billion.

That’s billion with a B, $9.6 6 billion to give people $400 each so they can afford two tanks of gas.

Meanwhile, the policies that caused $12 gas in the first place remain completely unchanged.

Let me be very clear about something.

This crisis was not caused by corporate greed.

It was not caused by oil companies price gouging.

It was not caused by market manipulation.

The Federal Trade Commission investigated California’s fuel market in 2024 and found no evidence of illegal pricing behavior.

Independent economists at Stanford, UC Berkeley, and USC all reached the same conclusion.

Refineries were not making excessive profits.

They were operating on margins that made continued investment in California economically irrational.

This crisis was caused by policy decisions made by elected officials who refused to accept the basic economic reality that when you make something prohibitively expensive to produce, production stops.

When you regulate an industry to the point where profit becomes impossible, that industry leaves.

And when that industry is essential to your entire economy, its departure creates catastrophe.

California was warned.

Arizona Governor Katie Hobbes and Nevada Governor Joe Lombardo sent a joint letter to Governor Nuomo in September 2024, 7 months before the crisis reached its current level.

They warned that California’s refinery regulations would trigger fuel shortages and massive price increases across the entire Southwest.

Governor Nuomo dismissed them.

He called their concerns oil industry talking points.

He accused a Democratic governor from Arizona of being a puppet for big oil because she dared to point out that California’s policies would harm her state.

Senator Brian Jones warned in May 2025.

He was ignored.

California’s own energy commission warned in June 2025.

They were overruled.

Industry experts, independent economists, trade associations, neighboring states, everyone who understood energy markets tried to sound the alarm.

and every warning was dismissed as corporate propaganda.

Now we’re here.

$12 per gallon gas isn’t a hypothetical anymore.

It’s the new reality and it’s going to get worse before it gets better, if it gets better at all.

Because here’s what’s coming next.

Chevron closes in March.

That’s 245,000 barrels per day gone.

Valero closes in April.

That’s another 145,000 barrels per day gone.

By May 2026, California will have lost 45% of the refining capacity it had in October 2024.

Almost half in 18 months.

California is now completely dependent on imported fuel to survive.

And imports are subject to global market conditions California cannot control.

If there’s a typhoon in the South China Sea that delays tanker shipments, California runs short.

If India or South Korea decide to prioritize domestic consumption over exports, California runs short.

If there’s political tension with Asian trading partners, California runs short.

The state has surrendered its energy security to foreign suppliers operating 6,000 m away.

And the environmental impact is worse than if California had just kept its refineries running.

Those tankers crossing the Pacific Ocean burn bunker fuel, the dirtiest fuel oil available.

Each shipment generates more carbon emissions than refining that same fuel domestically would have produced.

But California can claim its in-state emissions are lower even though global emissions are higher.

It’s accounting fraud on a planetary scale.

Before you go, I need you to do something.

Subscribe to the Laura Whitmore Report if you haven’t already.

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Drop a comment below and tell me, do you think California should reverse these regulations? Should neighboring states be compensated for damage caused by California’s policies? Share this video with your family, your friends, your co-workers.

People need to understand what’s happening before it’s too late.

Here’s the question we’re left with.

When gas hits $12 per gallon and working families can’t afford to drive to work, when emergency vehicles sit idle because departments can’t afford fuel, when the entire economy of the Southwest grinds to a halt because California dismantled its own energy infrastructure, will anyone be held accountable? Or will we just be told this was the cost of progress? The answer to that question is being written right now and so far no one in power seems interested in changing the script.